Welcome to Finance World

The Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy continues to show signs of modest improvement but signaled it will stay the course and keep interest rates low to help spur a recovery.

As expected, the central bank left its key interest rate, the federal funds rate, near 0%, the level it has been at since December 2008. That rate is used as a benchmark for a broad range of business and consumer loans.

In a statement released at the end of its two-day meeting, the Fed pointed to improvement in business spending, but said that the "recovery is likely to be moderate for a time."

While that may not sound like a ringing endorsement of economic growth, it was significantly better than what the Fed had been saying in its statements since last April — "Economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time."

Still, the Fed repeated its earlier forecast that conditions are "likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period."

But one member, Kansas City Fed President Thomas Hoenig, voted against the Fed’s latest action. According to the statement, Hoenig thought that economic conditions had changed enough so that the continued expectation of low rates was "no longer warranted." It was the first dissenting vote among Fed policymakers since January 2009.

The Fed said it will stick with plans to let some of its efforts of the past two years expire in the coming months. But it provided no new details of how or when it plans to start pulling back on nearly $2 trillion it has pumped into the economy over the last two years through the purchases of mortgages, long-term Treasurys and the debt of mortgage finance firms Fannie Mae (FNM, Fortune 500) and Freddie Mac (FRE, Fortune 500).

Some critics of the Fed have worried that the central bank is behind the curve in withdrawing that stimulus, which could feed inflation down the road. But the Fed repeated its earlier view that it believes inflation "is likely to be subdued for some time."

Bruce McCain, chief investment strategist at Key Private Bank, said Hoenig’s dissent is probably a good thing since it may assure markets that the Fed is not getting too far behind the curve in keeping prices in check.

Keith Hembre, chief economist at First American Funds, said if the Fed policymakers had followed Hoenig’s lead and dropped the language on keeping rates exceptionally low, it would have roiled financial markets not yet ready for the Fed to start raising rates.

"Hoeing is one of the more hawkish guys on inflation," Hembre said. "But I think the view [of other Fed policymakers] on inflation is on the mark."

Hembre added that due to the weakness in the job market, he thinks it will be years before there is a big enough increase in wages that could help drive the prices of goods and services higher.

Along those lines, the central bank did highlight some key economic weaknesses that remain, including tight credit, continued declines in real estate investment and employers still being reluctant to hire new staff.

McCain said that given the uneven signs of improvement in the housing market so far, it was not realistic to expect the Fed to lay out plans to start selling the $1.25 trillion in mortgages it expects to own by the end of March. Some have even argued the Fed should raise that limit in order to buy more mortgages.

"There is concern about what happens with the housing market when there is no longer the support of the Fed making these purchases," McCain said. He believes the Fed has decided its best course on mortgages is to "steer the middle course," and go ahead with the purchases it has committed to and no further.

The Fed’s latest meeting comes two days before the Commerce Department is expected to report the U.S. economy grew at an annual rate of 4.6% in the fourth quarter. That would be its strongest pace in four years.

The meeting also comes as the Senate prepares for a key vote Thursday that could clear the way towards confirming Fed chairman Ben Bernanke for another four-year term as head of the central bank. His term is set to expire Sunday, and there has been growing opposition from both ends of the political spectrum to his reappointment. 

Source

Brazilian inflation will quicken above policy makers’ target this year, according to economists surveyed by the central bank.

Consumer prices, as measured by the benchmark IPCA index, will rise 4.6 percent this year, up from a week-earlier forecast of 4.5 percent, according to the median forecast in a Jan. 22 central bank survey published today. The bank targets inflation of 4.5 percent plus or minus 2 percentage points.

Traders expect the central bank to raise interest rates to at least 9 percent, up from a record low 8.75 percent, as early as March to keep inflation in check, according to Bloomberg estimates based on interest rate futures contracts. The benchmark lending rate will be pushed up to 11.25 percent by year-end, according to the central bank survey.

“March would be a good month to start raising rates and to send out a clear message — the central bank is watching inflation and is ready to increase rates as needed,” Carlos Eduardo de Freitas, a former central bank director, said in an interview from Rio de Janeiro guaranteed payday loans.

The annual inflation rate is likely to remain between 4 percent and 4.5 percent if policy makers start acting in March, said Freitas, who is a partner at OF Consultoria Economica, an economic research company in Brasilia.

“Should they wait until the last quarter of the year, consumer prices could rise more than 5 percent this year,” he said.

Economists in the bank’s weekly survey forecast that Latin America’s biggest economy will expand 5.3 percent this year, after contracting 0.26 percent in 2009.

The real gained 0.2 percent to 1.8210 per U.S. dollar at 11:18 a.m. New York time from 1.8247 on Jan. 22.

Source

Editor’s note: This story is part of a special supplement to the Jan. 22 print edition of the Phoenix Business Journal. For more on the print edition: jbertolino@bizjournals.com.

The battle over noise concerns if the new F-35 fighter training mission comes to Luke Air Force Base has placed Glendale and El Mirage in a public relations and political skirmish.

El Mirage worries the F-35 fighter is louder than the F-16 jets that currently fly into and out of Luke. The West Valley suburb wants noise tests done to see how much louder the F-35 might be, and it could sue the U.S. Defense Department over the matter.

“You can ask questions about noise and still support the base. The jet may be noisier, and if it comes, everyone is going to have to deal with it,” said Stacy Pearson, a spokeswoman for El Mirage.

Glendale, where the base is located, has taken the lead in trying to attract the new F-35 fighter to Luke, which is the U.S. Air Force’s main training base for F-16 pilots. The F-35 is replacing the F-16 in the U.S. military arsenal, and Luke is on the short list for F-35 training along with bases in Florida, New Mexico, Idaho and Tucson.

Glendale spokesman Jerry McCoy said community support for Luke could help draw F-35 operations to the base.

“They’re going to base their decisions on what’s best for the national defense. But they also want to be in a community that’s supportive of them,” said McCoy.

Glendale has been garnering political, business and community support for Luke and the F-35. The main concern is that if the Pentagon picks another base for F-35 training, Luke’s mission could end and base could be closed.

The West Valley suburbs are no strangers to conflict. Glendale prevailed in recent court battles with El Mirage regarding decades-old strip annexations. El Mirage officials have hinted that if Glendale turns over some of that land, it could help ease El Mirage’s worries about Luke noise fast cash advance.

Arizona Sen. John McCain has asked the Department of Defense to have an F-35 fly over the region in an effort to determine how much noise will be generated by the new plane if it ends up being based at Luke.

Pearson and McCoy are not strangers, either. Pearson worked as a spokeswoman for the city of Glendale with McCoy before leaving for a post at Rose & Allyn Public Relations. Last year, El Mirage hired Rose & Allyn, headed by Jason Rose, to handle its PR on the F-35 and Luke. Policy Development Group previously handled PR for El Mirage.

Pearson said Glendale’s reaction to El Mirage’s noise concerns is disappointing.

“It’s been juvenile,” she said. “The two cities have not been the friendliest of neighbors. It is time to bury the hatchet and discuss noise.”

In its quest, El Mirage has drawn comparisons to Valparaiso, Fla., which filed a federal lawsuit regarding F-35 noise at Eglin Air Force Base, near Pensacola. Since Eglin held some F-35 test flights, the Florida town has complained about what it believes is an increase in noise compared with the F-16.

McCoy said the noise concerns in Florida may not mirror those at Luke because of the number of and the differences in how flights take off and land at the two bases. Glendale officials point out that El Mirage does not get all of Luke’s flight noise: Some flights follow a path over Goodyear, south of the base, for takeoff and landing. El Mirage is north of Luke.

McCoy said the F-35 issue is not about a rivalry between the two cities.

“We don’t look at it as Glendale-El Mirage,” McCoy said. “This is really a statewide issue.”

Source

China property sales jumped 75.5 percent to 4.4 trillion yuan ($644 billion) last year, led by the eastern cities of Zhejiang and Shanghai, as record new loans boosted buying.

The sales data follows last week’s announcement that December property prices rose 7.8 percent, the fastest pace in 18 months, adding urgency to government efforts to rein in speculation. China this month reimposed a sales tax on homes sold within five years of their purchase while the country’s cabinet on Jan. 10 urged strict application of a 40 percent down-payment requirement for second homes. The measures are likely to weigh on first-quarter sales, economist Lu Ting said.

‘We will see very bad transaction numbers, even though prices may not fall that much as the supply of new homes is still low,” Lu, a Hong Kong-based economist at Bank of America- Merrill Lynch, said by phone today. Today’s data more accurately reflect last year’s gain in asset values, he said

By floor area, sales rose 42 percent from 2008 to 937 million square meters (10 billion square feet), the National Bureau of Statistics said in a statement on its Web site today. That compares with a 53 percent gain between January and November, when sales value advanced 86.8 percent. December’s declining sales growth reflects the seasonally slow winter period, Lu said.

The December figure for property prices probably understated the size of the increase, the economist said. “In reality, the inflation in asset prices may be between 20 percent and 30 percent, and that is way too high for the policy- makers,” Lu said.

Shanghai Gain

Zhejiang topped the increase in sales value, with a 130 percent gain, the statistics bureau said today. In Shanghai, the gain was 126 percent.

Investment in property development in 2009 rose 16.1 percent to 3.62 trillion yuan, the statistics bureau said. That was less than the 17.8 percent gain in the first 11 months. Chinese banks extended a record 9.59 trillion yuan of new loans last year.

To counter property speculation, China is tightening lending. Chinese banks from Jan. 18 raised the share of deposits they must set aside as reserves, as the government seeks to rein in liquidity from record lending without stalling a recovery. China is targeting 8 percent growth this year, Industry Minister Li Yizhong said Dec. 21.

Developers Sales Surge

Shanghai Shimao Co., the local unit of billionaire Xu Rongmao’s developer Shimao Holdings Holdings Ltd., said today that 2009 profit may quadruple, partly due to higher sales from additional commercial property projects.

Earlier this month, some of China’s biggest developers said 2009 sales increased significantly.

China Overseas Land & Investment Ltd., owned by the country’s construction ministry, said property sales rose 80 percent to HK$47.8 billion. Evergrande Real Estate Group Ltd., China’s third-biggest developer by market value, said Jan. 5 that contracted sales jumped fivefold to 30.3 billion yuan.

Source

Mark Tade, manager of employee relations for U.S. Steel’s Granite City Works, was elected as this year’s president of the Leadership Council Southwestern Illinois, a key economic development organization in the Metro East area.

Members also chose four other council officers for one-year terms:

— Council chairman, Vaughn Vandegrift, chancellor of Southern Illinois University Edwardsville

— Council vice president, Gerry Schuetzenhofer, president of Coldwell Banker Brown Realtors
— Secretary, Richard Sauget Sr short term personal loan., president of East County Enterprises

— Treasurer, Dale Stewart, executive secretary/treasurer of the Southwestern Illinois Building and Construction Trades Council

The Leadership Council was organized to attract and retain jobs and stimulate capital investment in the Metro East area.

Source

The amount of money that Canadians are stashing away for retirement has been declining for a decade, and the trend is likely to continue through 2020 as the baby boomers move into their golden years, according to a study by the Royal Bank of Canada.

Contributions to registered retirement savings plans, or RRSPs, grew steadily from the late 1960s to the late 1990s.

Since 1997, there has been a "decidedly downward trend" in the RRSP savings rate, the report says.

"This downward trend in itself doesn’t mean there’s a problem," if the level of savings is still adequate for Canadians’ retirement, RBC assistant chief economist Paul Ferley said in an interview.

"The big question is determining how much savings is needed to properly fund the population as they move into their retirement years. At the moment the academic community is working through that analysis. There doesn’t seem to be a consensus on that."

A falloff in savings would have a negative impact on the overall economy because it would result in fewer funds available for business investment.

Government officials said in December they will study and consult the public on a short-list of proposals for how to boost retirement savings.

The list includes everything from a continued reliance on voluntary savings plans and higher contributions to the Canada Pension Plan to supplementary pension plans and tax reform.

A report is expected by May.

Financial planning experts, academics and labour groups have been calling for pension reform, particularly as the massive baby boom population, those born in the two decades following World War II, moves into the retirement years.

Stock market volatility and turmoil in the economy over the past two years have exposed weaknesses in the current system. Fewer than one in four Canadians now holds a private company pension plan.

The decline in RRSP contributions can largely be pinned on changing demographics, according to the RBC paper.

Different age groups tend to save differently for retirement, the study noted, with those in their mid-30s and 40s traditionally saving the most and those ages 34 and under and ages 55 and older saving less.

"Because household RRSP contributions have historically tended to fall after age 55, it is possible that we could actually see a decline in total real RRSP contributions over the next decade," the study said.

The run-up in RRSP contributions as a share of income through the 1980s and early 1990s appears to have been mainly due to the boomers entering their peak saving years, along with rising income growth and comparatively strong real stock market gains, the study found.

Periodic changes in government policy, such as increases to contribution limits and scrapping limits on carry-forward room, also spurred savings.

Retirement savings declines have been driven by falling stock markets and economic slowdown, as well as demographic changes.

Source

The Boeing Co. announced Thursday that it has realigned its St. Louis-based Integrated Defense Systems unit and will operate under a new name.

The newly renamed Boeing Defense, Space & Security unit reflects part of the company’s "continuing effort to compete in a rapidly evolving global defense and security marketplace," company officials said in a news release.

"Boeing anticipated flattening defense budgets and shifting customer priorities for the past few years and has been taking aggressive steps to position the company for profitable growth in a challenging economy," said Dennis Muilenburg, president and CEO of the Defense, Space & Security unit fast payday loans.

It will retain its operating units — Boeing Military Aircraft, Network and Space Systems, and Global Services and Support. Boeing Defense, Space & Security will consolidate some divisions and make several leadership changes, Muilenburg said.

Boeing’s Defense, Space & Security unit is the second-largest employer in the St. Louis region with about 15,000 workers.

Source

Cincinnati–Swiffer kitties? Just attach little dusting pads to your feline’s paws, so they can help keep your floors clean while making their rounds. A bit far-fetched? Executives at consumer-products king Procter & Gamble Co. thought so, too, and sent the idea to the discard pile.

P&G also rejected pitches from outside inventors for a belly-button lint brush, a Knees and Toes body wash to complement Head and Shoulders shampoo, and a "man handle" to keep marital harmony in the bathroom by making it easier to raise and lower the toilet seat.

But there are success stories, too. The original Swiffer duster was developed by a Japanese company that P&G teamed up with to take it global. That’s why P&G keeps the door open to proposals.

The once-insular company is now considered a leader among the companies in many industries that are listening to outsiders they once might have shunned, including other businesses. "We don’t care where good ideas come from, as long as they come to us," said Jeff Weedman, a vice-president who helps lead P&G’s effort to solicit ideas online or from scouting by P&G employees around the globe.

"We’re not going to use everything that shows up, but we want to be the preferred partner."

Others noted for "open innovation" include IBM Corp., which runs online "innovation jams," and Eli Lilly & Co., which in 2001 created an InnoCentive branch to draw scientific help from around the globe.

Jeff DeGraff, a professor who focuses on managing innovation and creativity at the University of Michigan’s Ross School of Business, said P&G has helped popularize the approach.

"P&G was the poster child for this movement, showing large companies with growth challenges that this is not just for Silicon Valley or Ann Arbor (Mich business

IMPERIAL — John V. Price won’t sell you a house. But he’ll sell you a place to build your dream home.

Price, 62, owns Price Acreage LLC, a family-operated business that has been developing semi-rural and suburban home sites in Jefferson and St. Francois counties.

The company subdivides large tracts of wooded land, extends roads and utilities to the rural site, and then sells individual plots of one to six acres each to buyers who later contract with their own homebuilders.

"The freedom to build what they want when they want to build" attracts buyers, Price said. "The lots are big, and different house styles in that environment don’t clash."

He first got into the real estate business with his father, Homer V. Price, who developed subdivisions and home sites in Jefferson County for nearly 50 years before his death in 2004. Among Homer Price’s developments was Olympian Village during the 1960s. After this father’s death, John Price founded Price Acreage.

John Price’s latest project is the Hollows at Frisco Hill subdivision in the Imperial area.

He said the 48 large, heavily wooded lots at the Hollows were particularly attractive because the development is less than 15 minutes from south St. Louis County.

The access roads and utilities are now in place, and the first lots are being sold.

Five deals have closed on the lots since they went on the market early in December, Price said. He said he expected construction of the first houses in the development to start this month, weather permitting.

"It’s a great, great location," he said. "It’s extremely convenient to everything."

The 90-acre development is just southwest of the intersection of Frisco Hill Road and Ambrose Crossing, along the new Frisco Hollows Road that serves the site.

The lots sell for about $69,000 to more than $140,000 each, depending on the size. The average cost of a lot is about $80,000.

Price said that was a good deal — coupled with housing construction costs of $200,000 or so — for a big house on a big lot near the city.

The Hollows does have some restrictions on construction. Houses must have a minimum of 2,000 square feet of floor space and garages that hold at least two cars.

A large range of home styles is allowed, but also within some restrictions on building materials and designs.

Eventually, a property committee of at least three Hollows property owners will be formed to maintain the subdivision roads. The committee also will collect subdivision assessments to be established for community expenditures, such as electric bills for street lights, common ground maintenance, snow removal and road repairs, Price said.

So far, most of the buyers and prospective buyers he’s worked with already live in the Imperial area, Price said. They know about the convenience of the area and simply want to move up to nicer, more private homes at a reasonable cost, he said.

"Our customers are generally pretty sophisticated, and they know what lots cost here and elsewhere," Price said.

The developers had tried to maintain the natural woods as much as possible in subdividing the site and building access roads, said Jeff Price, 27, who works with his father on the Hollows.

"We build to the land, not through the land," he said. "We strive for quality over quantity."

Jeff Price said the trees that did have to be removed for the development were ground into mulch for use by tract buyers.

"On many construction projects, that would have got hauled off and just thrown away," he said.

Source